100NL Spewing with Overpairs? Taking the time to analyze

50NL was decent to me.

100NL is raping me.

Heres a graph of my shot at 100NL -- 26k hands this month:



Its ugly isn't it? I decided to quit my last session at 'almost even' in order to take some time to look at what I've been doing wrong so far.

First thing I did was jump into pokerEV and sort by net wins. Heres where I lose my money.



Of my top 32 net losing hands, HALF were due to overpairs.

Next thing on the agenda was to see my big winners.



From the same size window, only 6 overpairs won me decent sized pots.

PokerEV has this fancy feature that lets you filter your hands by factors like number of players per hand, hand type, when betting/raising occurs, etc...Soooo...

Graph of hands where I flop an Overpair.



"Odd", I thought. Looks like I'm up overall in hands I have an overpair. Way above my showdown winnings, so that means my non showdown winnings are making up for my dumb decisions to go to the river.

This led me to my next decision to look at spots where I bet pf, then cbet on the flop with no pair.
Nonshowdown losses then wins:





I couldn't get an actual count of the number of times I won without showdown versus the number of times I lost. So, I used the scrollbar as a guide. My green numbers turned into red numbers about 2/3 ~ 3/4 of the way down. This is consistent with my ~33% WWSF.

Heres a graph of bet pf, cbet with high card graph (includes showdowns)



Again, above SD winnings. Surprised myself with that.

Where the heck were my losses coming from? Well, heres a graph of high card, no bets.



Disgusting. How to fix this.

Heres my graph of hands with straight draws. For some reason, I've been playing them significantly weaker than FDs.



Not too good either.

Finally, some position graphs.

UTG, BB, SB play.




Hijack, CO, Button play...




Time to sleep this over and think about how to plug those leaks and sniff out some other leaks.

Too crazy...

Stats:
Total hands: 48836
vpip: 12.92
bb/100: -.85


Played a 410 hand session...results are awful...lets see why...

I have 4 showdown hands that net me -100bb:
I have 6 showdown hands in the green...$27.75, $19.55, $14.55 > none were interesting

KK vs ?? in sb vs bb
FullTiltPoker Game #4494526744: Table English Elm - $0.25/$0.50 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:09:43 ET - 2007/12/13
Seat 1: danielburke ($53.35)
Seat 2: TFEEAUB56 ($29.95)
Seat 3: baitsnake ($36.05)
Seat 4: lemonshillbot ($59.30)
Seat 5: DIMOSS ($49)
Seat 6: Nella88 ($27.10)
Seat 7: Cuongster ($88)
Seat 8: kirkir7 ($12)
Seat 9: CarazyOne ($80.75)
CarazyOne posts the small blind of $0.25
danielburke posts the big blind of $0.50
The button is in seat #8
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to danielburke [Kh Kc]
TFEEAUB56 folds
baitsnake calls $0.50
lemonshillbot calls $0.50
DIMOSS folds
Nella88 folds
Cuongster folds
kirkir7 folds
CarazyOne raises to $3
danielburke raises to $9
baitsnake folds
lemonshillbot folds
CarazyOne calls $6
*** FLOP *** [6c 7c Jd]
CarazyOne checks
danielburke bets $13
CarazyOne raises to $58 << what am i hoping for from this...TT-AA?
danielburke calls $31.35, and is all in
CarazyOne shows [Jc Jh]
danielburke shows [Kh Kc]
Uncalled bet of $13.65 returned to CarazyOne
*** TURN *** [6c 7c Jd] [Th]
*** RIVER *** [6c 7c Jd Th] [3c]
CarazyOne shows three of a kind, Jacks
danielburke shows a pair of Kings
CarazyOne wins the pot ($104.70) with three of a kind, Jacks
danielburke adds $50
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $107.70 | Rake $3
Board: [6c 7c Jd Th 3c]
Seat 1: danielburke (big blind) showed [Kh Kc] and lost with a pair of Kings
Seat 2: TFEEAUB56 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: baitsnake folded before the Flop
Seat 4: lemonshillbot folded before the Flop
Seat 5: DIMOSS didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: Nella88 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: Cuongster didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: kirkir7 (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: CarazyOne (small blind) showed [Jc Jh] and won ($104.70) with three of a kind, Jacks

limp/go crazy with AK oop
FullTiltPoker Game #4494425558: Table Washington - $0.25/$0.50 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:00:31 ET - 2007/12/13
Seat 1: pallavicini ($36.60)
Seat 2: CogitCom ($74.45)
Seat 3: CarazyOne ($65.60)
Seat 4: MasterPUA ($51.20)
Seat 5: turtledove03 ($72.45)
Seat 6: kirkir7 ($8.50)
Seat 7: danielburke ($50)
Seat 8: smksho ($28.75)
Seat 9: doctortom49 ($55)
kirkir7 posts the small blind of $0.25
danielburke posts the big blind of $0.50
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to danielburke [As Kc]
smksho raises to $1
doctortom49 calls $1
pallavicini folds
CogitCom calls $1
CarazyOne folds
MasterPUA folds
turtledove03 calls $1
kirkir7 folds
danielburke calls $0.50
*** FLOP *** [8h 2s Kh]
danielburke checks
smksho checks
doctortom49 has 15 seconds left to act
doctortom49 bets $5
CogitCom calls $5
turtledove03 folds
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke raises to $13 << smallish bet. i dont usually do this...theres a FD on board, and TP probably wouldnt fold to this c/r. it was a useless bet.
smksho folds
doctortom49 has 15 seconds left to act
doctortom49 raises to $21 << lead/minrr'r ... kind of what i was hoping for, gets it to heads up...i expect to run into ak+ from this with a low chance of kq joining in on the fun
CogitCom folds
danielburke raises to $49, and is all in
doctortom49 calls $28
danielburke shows [As Kc]
doctortom49 shows [2d 2c]
*** TURN *** [8h 2s Kh] [4d]
*** RIVER *** [8h 2s Kh 4d] [Ac]
danielburke shows two pair, Aces and Kings
doctortom49 shows three of a kind, Twos
doctortom49 wins the pot ($105.25) with three of a kind, Twos
danielburke adds $50
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $108.25 | Rake $3
Board: [8h 2s Kh 4d Ac]
Seat 1: pallavicini didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: CogitCom folded on the Flop
Seat 3: CarazyOne didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: MasterPUA didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: turtledove03 (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 6: kirkir7 (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 7: danielburke (big blind) showed [As Kc] and lost with two pair, Aces and Kings
Seat 8: smksho folded on the Flop
Seat 9: doctortom49 showed [2d 2c] and won ($105.25) with three of a kind, Twos

KK oop 4 way to the $40 pot to the flop
FullTiltPoker Game #4494355088: Table Harwood - $0.25/$0.50 - No Limit Hold'em - 21:54:09 ET - 2007/12/13
Seat 1: Kalbar8 ($62.60)
Seat 2: MasterChiefT11 ($22.35)
Seat 3: danielburke ($50)
Seat 4: NotBlessed ($29.55)
Seat 5: hammerva ($55.75)
Seat 6: Max1r ($44.30)
Seat 7: FEIGN ($39.75)
Seat 8: SkiDooSledder ($45.50)
Seat 9: Jimmy Putt ($20)
MasterChiefT11 posts the small blind of $0.25
danielburke posts the big blind of $0.50
5 seconds left to act
Jimmy Putt is sitting out
Time has expired
Jimmy Putt has returned
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to danielburke [Ks Kh]
NotBlessed folds
hammerva raises to $2
Max1r folds
FEIGN calls $2
SkiDooSledder folds
Kalbar8 calls $2
MasterChiefT11 calls $1.75
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke raises to $10
hammerva has 15 seconds left to act
hammerva calls $8
FEIGN calls $8
Kalbar8 has 15 seconds left to act
Kalbar8 calls $8
MasterChiefT11 folds
*** FLOP *** [Th 2s 2h] ($40 pot)
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke bets $15 (stack size is $40) i dont expect to see aa from the call/callers, betting less than half the pot to give hope to jj-qq that i might save the rest of my stack with an ak sort of hand...
hammerva raises to $45.75, and is all in
FEIGN folds
Kalbar8 folds
danielburke calls $25, and is all in
hammerva shows [Qh Qc]
danielburke shows [Ks Kh]
Uncalled bet of $5.75 returned to hammerva
*** TURN *** [Th 2s 2h] [Qs]
*** RIVER *** [Th 2s 2h Qs] [As]
hammerva shows a full house, Queens full of Twos
danielburke shows two pair, Kings and Twos
hammerva wins the pot ($119) with a full house, Queens full of Twos
hammerva: geez
danielburke adds $50
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $122 | Rake $3
Board: [Th 2s 2h Qs As]
Seat 1: Kalbar8 (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 2: MasterChiefT11 (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 3: danielburke (big blind) showed [Ks Kh] and lost with two pair, Kings and Twos
Seat 4: NotBlessed didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: hammerva showed [Qh Qc] and won ($119) with a full house, Queens full of Twos
Seat 6: Max1r didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: FEIGN folded on the Flop
Seat 8: SkiDooSledder didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: Jimmy Putt is sitting out

set on monotone board ip
FullTiltPoker Game #4494626306: Table Fabian - $0.25/$0.50 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:18:40 ET - 2007/12/13
Seat 1: guned2 ($10)
Seat 2: Luuucas ($90.30)
Seat 3: justplaynluck ($88.55)
Seat 4: danielburke ($49.20)
Seat 5: Mr_R_Hand ($73.40)
Seat 6: ski14 ($0), is sitting out
Seat 7: callbluff1 ($87.75)
Seat 8: will_haro ($12.50)
Seat 9: UptownGirl07 ($11.15)
callbluff1 has 5 seconds left to act
callbluff1 is sitting out
will_haro posts the big blind of $0.50
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to danielburke [6d 6s]
callbluff1 stands up
UptownGirl07 folds
Luuucas folds
justplaynluck folds
danielburke raises to $1.50 first in, raise it up...
scoops45 sits down
Mr_R_Hand calls $1.50
will_haro calls $1
*** FLOP *** [6c 8c 2c]
scoops45 adds $49
will_haro checks
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke bets $3.50 board was monotone, thought about a $2 bet instead of a 3.5 bet. reason for that thought is somewhat pot control because i a fd to come along regardless.
ski14 adds $5
ski14 has returned
Mr_R_Hand raises to $9.50 what raises here? overpair, set, flush?
will_haro folds
danielburke calls $6 let card come off, c/r all in if its non club [bad vs flush, good vs lower set, good vs overpair+fd], check call bet river if it pairs board.
*** TURN *** [6c 8c 2c] [3c]
danielburke checks
Mr_R_Hand checks check behind? made flush gets sad? ace high flush feels too strong? set doesnt like?
*** RIVER *** [6c 8c 2c 3c] [2h]
danielburke bets $38.20, and is all in bad push. pot is 23 ish? i like a $18 bet better. more flushes will call....if opp pushes, call and be sad of course.
Mr_R_Hand calls $38.20
*** SHOW DOWN ***
danielburke shows [6d 6s] a full house, Sixes full of Twos
Mr_R_Hand shows [8d 8s] a full house, Eights full of Twos
Mr_R_Hand wins the pot ($96.90) with a full house, Eights full of Twos
danielburke adds $50
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $99.90 | Rake $3
Board: [6c 8c 2c 3c 2h]
Seat 1: guned2 is sitting out
Seat 2: Luuucas didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: justplaynluck didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: danielburke showed [6d 6s] and lost with a full house, Sixes full of Twos
Seat 5: Mr_R_Hand (button) showed [8d 8s] and won ($96.90) with a full house, Eights full of Twos
Seat 6: ski14 (small blind) is sitting out
Seat 7: callbluff1 is sitting out
Seat 8: will_haro (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 9: UptownGirl07 didn't bet (folded)

better betting?
FullTiltPoker Game #4494605806: Table Cavaliers - $0.25/$0.50 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:16:49 ET - 2007/12/13
Seat 1: gemsetr ($63.85)
Seat 2: danielburke ($47.75)
Seat 3: pyththm6810 ($50.55)
Seat 4: Zwerk77 ($10)
Seat 5: passiveharry ($48.70)
Seat 6: gene75 ($38.30)
Seat 7: FEIGN ($39.20)
Seat 8: TapBed ($21.80)
Seat 9: pokerfaze_com ($56.10)
danielburke posts the small blind of $0.25
pyththm6810 posts the big blind of $0.50
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to danielburke [Jh Kh]
Zwerk77 has 15 seconds left to act
Zwerk77 is sitting out
Zwerk77 has timed out
Zwerk77 folds
passiveharry folds
gene75 calls $0.50
FEIGN folds
TapBed calls $0.50
pokerfaze_com folds
gemsetr folds
danielburke calls $0.25
pyththm6810 checks
*** FLOP *** [7s 5h 2h]
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke bets $1.25
pyththm6810 folds
gene75 calls $1.25
TapBed folds
*** TURN *** [7s 5h 2h] [4h]
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke bets $3
gene75 has 15 seconds left to act
gene75 raises to $6
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke raises to $14 sizing, any good?...whats my plan to a rr?
gene75 calls $8
*** RIVER *** [7s 5h 2h 4h] [6c]
danielburke has 15 seconds left to act
danielburke bets $14 opponent has $22.80 left..pots at $29.5
gene75 calls $14
*** SHOW DOWN ***
danielburke shows [Jh Kh] a flush, King high
gene75 mucks
danielburke wins the pot ($57.50) with a flush, King high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $60.50 | Rake $3
Board: [7s 5h 2h 4h 6c]
Seat 1: gemsetr (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: danielburke (small blind) showed [Jh Kh] and won ($57.50) with a flush, King high
Seat 3: pyththm6810 (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 4: Zwerk77 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: passiveharry didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: gene75 mucked [Ah 3d] - a straight, Seven high
Seat 7: FEIGN didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: TapBed folded on the Flop
Seat 9: pokerfaze_com didn't bet (folded)

Summary:
Got somewhat unlucky, but also made some bets that only get called by better hands.

Lesson:
Be a better bettor.